Brazil after Petrobras: are securities arbitrations still investable?

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Brazil's post-Petrobras securities landscape is evolving. In particular, the Americanas accounting scandal, where minority shareholders are pursuing approximately BRL 32 billion in damages through arbitration, has emerged as a landmark test case for whether arbitration can serve as a viable mechanism for large-scale investor recovery. While the scale of wrongdoing and strength of the factual record present significant recovery potential, litigation funders and the institutional investors they represent must weigh structural risks including enforcement uncertainties, respondent solvency, and the nascent nature of collective securities arbitration in Brazil.

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The Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. ("Petrobras") corruption scandal remains one of the defining cases in international securities litigation. A massive bribery scheme involving officers of Petrobras, illegal inflation of assets, and other corporate irregularities led to a stock price decline of over 40% and prompted investor claims across multiple jurisdictions. In the United States, a class action resulted in a landmark class settlement of USD 2.95 billion for investors who held shares on US exchanges. In parallel, the Dutch claim foundation 'Stichting Petrobras Compensation Foundation' initiated civil proceedings in the Netherlands against Petrobras and others for securities traded on non-US exchanges before 28 July 2015. In July 2023, the Dutch district court rendered an interim judgment holding, in principle, that Petrobras' conduct towards its investors had been unlawful, as the company had not met its duty of care to prevent the fraud and had provided investors with incorrect information. Critically, however, in October 2024, the Dutch district court dismissed the shareholder claims asserted by the Stichting Petrobras Compensation Foundation against Petrobras, while upholding claims of bondholders whose claims are governed by Luxembourg law. That decision has likely been appealed.

The Petrobras litigation thus illustrates a broader challenge for investors seeking recovery in Brazil-linked corporate scandals: although the underlying wrongdoing may be clear, the legal pathways available to international investors are complex, multi-jurisdictional, and uncertain. The question for litigation funders and institutional investors alike is whether the post-Petrobras landscape in Brazil offers viable routes for future securities claims, and specifically whether arbitration is emerging as a credible alternative to traditional court proceedings.

The Americanas scandal: a test case for Brazilian securities arbitration

The most significant test of this proposition is the Americanas S.A. case. In January 2023, the newly appointed CEO of Americanas resigned after only days in office, citing the discovery of "accounting inconsistencies" in the company's financials totalling BRL 20 billion (approximately USD 3.9 billion). Subsequent investigations revealed that the scheme involved improper entries in suppliers' accounts, fictitious advertising budgets, and financial operations incorrectly reflected on the company's balance sheet. Americanas' stock has fallen around 85% since the scandal was exposed. Brazil's securities regulator, the CVM, accused eight former executives of insider trading involving the company's securities ahead of the disclosure of the scandal, stating that it had gathered "robust, compelling, and convergent elements" to support the accusations. Former CEO Miguel Gutierrez and former director Anna Christina Ramos Saicali were placed on Interpol's most-wanted list.

Minority shareholders, who saw their investments lose 99.52% in value, are now pursuing approximately BRL 32 billion (USD 6.4 billion) in damages through arbitration. This is a remarkable development. The use of arbitration as the primary mechanism for securities claims of this scale is still relatively unusual in the global landscape, and the outcome of the Americanas arbitration will likely shape investor expectations and funder appetite for Brazilian securities disputes for years to come.

The investability question

From a litigation funding perspective, several factors bear on whether Brazilian securities arbitrations are "investable", that is, whether they present an acceptable risk-return profile for third-party funders and the institutional investors they serve.

On the positive side, the Brazilian legislative response to the Americanas scandal has been notable. Federal lawmakers have proposed measures to boost accountability in the financial markets, including reforms to the laws governing the responsibility of company shareholders and managers, improvements to the access of independent audit firms to financial information, reform of the law regarding "patrimonial infidelity," and enhanced protections for whistleblowers. These reforms, if enacted, would strengthen the overall enforcement environment and signal a maturing of Brazil's capital markets governance framework.

Additionally, the facts underlying both the Petrobras and Americanas cases are exceptionally strong from a merits perspective. In Petrobras, a Dutch court has already held that the company's conduct was unlawful. In Americanas, the company itself has admitted to the involvement of former executives in including fraudulent statements in its financial accounts, and the CVM enforcement action adds further support to the factual basis for investor claims.

On the other hand, significant challenges remain. The Petrobras Dutch proceedings demonstrate that even where liability is established in principle, recovery can be protracted and uncertain. The Americanas arbitration, while promising in scale, must still navigate the complexities of Brazilian arbitral procedure, enforcement, and the financial position of the respondents. Americanas itself underwent bankruptcy protection in January 2023, declaring debts of BRL 41 billion (USD 8 billion). Although the company has since been implementing a recovery plan and projecting positive financial results, including an EBITDA target exceeding BRL 2.2 billion by 2025, the ability of minority shareholders to recover the full extent of their losses remains subject to considerable uncertainty.

Conclusion

The post-Petrobras era in Brazil presents both promise and caution for litigation funders and institutional investors. The scale of wrongdoing, the strength of the factual record, and the emergence of arbitration as a claims vehicle in the Americanas case all point to a market with significant recovery potential. At the same time, structural risks, including enforcement uncertainties, respondent solvency, and the nascent nature of collective securities arbitration in Brazil, require careful diligence and a realistic assessment of timelines and outcomes. 


Deminor will continue to monitor these developments closely and will keep our readers advised of any significant developments in the Brazilian securities litigation landscape. 


 

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